“For the purpose of this article – which is purely academic and but one possibility – we’re not going to worry about PEJUANG’s registration. The ideal scenario depicted herein is based squarely on the number of parliamentary seats contested during the 14th general election and can change if we were to delve into demographics and other related matters”
Raggie Jessy Rithaudeen
On the 14thof December last year, Tan Sri Annuar Musa claimed that the 54 seats won by UMNO during the 14thgeneral election will not be contested by PAS while the 18 won by PAS will not be contested by UMNO.
“If there are seats where both lost but UMNO obtained more votes, then UMNO will contest and vice versa,” he said.
Since Annuar is known to be PPBM’s ‘mouthpiece’, we can assume that PPBM itself will not contest UMNO’s 54 seats and PAS’ 18 seats.
And since UMNO contested in 122 Malay majority seats during the 14thgeneral election, PPBM could also contest 54 seats in the upcoming general election and let PAS contest the remaining 14.
So, assuming that UMNO and PPBM do not merge, the duo could contest 54 seats each while PAS could contest another 32 seats.
If anyone from the opposition intends to contest PAS, if should be AMANAH. It follows, AMANAH could contest in 32 seats assuming that it is the number of seats PAS will contest.
That leaves us with UMNO and PPBM.
The correct competitor for UMNO and PPBM (108 seats) has to be a Third Force bloc led by Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad.
That’s because Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim will never be able to gain the confidence of UMNO and PPBM voters and may even cause PKR a huge defeat should he try to do so or pull one of his stunts.
However, to avoid multi cornered fights, the Third force bloc could ‘sacrifice’ 10 seats and make way for the DAP and PKR to contest them.
Under the circumstances, the ideal seat allocation for Pakatan Harapan and The Third Force bloc during the 15thgeneral election should be as follows:
Pakatan Harapan: 124 seats – PKR (50), DAP (42) and AMANAH (32)
The Third Force bloc: 98 seats – PEJUANG (50), WARISAN (23), Others (25)
Everyone then meets after the general election to decide who should be Prime Minister.