“Anwar should have read my messages and taken them seriously. Now, unless he is ready to concede and seek Mahathir’s forgiveness, he can go fly kites”
Raggie Jessy Rithaudeen
محضير بري عشارت ءساي تق ڤرلو انورء – بوكنكه ساي ده بريتاهو دري اول؟
Former premier Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad today dropped a bombshell amid an ongoing dispute between him and PKR president Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim.
In what amounts to an ultimatum, Mahathir said he would stop asking PKR or Anwar to work with him and will seek other alternatives, which the elder statesman never reslly specified.
He did, however, note that he would continue to work with the DAP and AMANAH, two component factions from the three-party Pakatan Harapan alliance which he once was a member of.
In recent days, AMANAH and DAP have gone head-on against Anwar over his refusal to accept the fact that Mahathir was the only person who could guarantee majority support for Pakatan Harapan.
Mahathir indicated he would exit Pakatan Plus — a pact comprising three Pakatan Harapan parties and his own cluster of parliamentarians – in the event Anwar persists with his stubbornness.
This is in line with what TTF has been saying all along, which is, the “axis of support” will tilt further in Mahathir’s favour should he do away Anwar altogether.
In other words, Mahathir already has a majority ready to support him in the event he decides to part ways with the PKR president.
Yesterday, I wrote:
1. Everyone agrees that should Mahathir be named Pakatan Harapan’s Prime Minister candidate, he has the ability to secure a comfortable majority from Members of Parliament (MPs) across the board.
2. This is because Mahathir has the support of MPs from WARISAN, GPS, Team B (UMNO), PKR (anti-Anwar group, fence sitters), Team Azmin Ali and a sizeable number from PPBM (government block) which Anwar does not.
This support will remain with Mahathir whether or not the mission is to wrest control of government from Perikatan Nasional before the next general election or to do so by means of a general election.
Both WARISAN and GPS have made it clear, in no uncertain terms, that they can never agree to a government with Anwar in charge.
The two Borneo based parties have also made it tacitly clear that they can no longer tolerate the idea of having Anwar on board as Prime Minsiter in waiting.
Mahathir’s supporters from PPBM are also against the idea of Anwar becoming Prime Minister or Prime Minsiter in waiting.
It follows, if the mission is to wrest control of government from Perikatan Nasional before the next general election, the DAP cannot opt for a transition agreement.
In other words, the DAP cannot impose a condition whereby Mahathir needs to relinquish his post as Prime Minister within six months.
Mahathir knew this all along. He simply gave Anwar a chance to work together just to see how the DAP, AMANAH and the PKR president would react before deciding his next move.
Not only does he not need Anwar, the minute the DAP began talking about a “mechanism to kick Mahathir out if he refuses to resign after six months,” Mahathir got pissed.
The former premier is game for a general election to be held “as soon as possible” and is even willing to ditch the DAP or AMANAH if they choose to fuss about a transition agreement.
As far as he is concerned, there need not be a transition agreement – not in writing, not in words.
I also wrote:
9 Even if WARISAN, GPS and Mahathir’s supporters in PPBM were to suddenly agree to a “six month transition plan,” when the time comes, there is nothing stopping them from collapsing government before establishing a Third Force with Mahathir.
10. Should this happen, it will be the end of the DAP.
11. Likewise, if Pakatan Harapan were to succeed in wresting control of government from Perikatan Nasional, should Mahathir suddenly refuse to resign, collapsing government and triggering a general election will be the end of the DAP.
12. So, the very notion that “there are ways to guarantee Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad steps down within a stipulated period should he become prime minister for the third time” makes no sense whatsoever.
13. Not only will the DAP not dare collapse government, neither will PKR.
14, We will then be back to square one – Anwar will not stop hounding Mahathir on the issue of power transition, causing PPBM MPs (and MPs from Team B, if they’re on board) to get fed up and collapse government anyway.
As per the reason a general election with Anwar as Pakatan Harapan’s Prime Minister candidate will be the end of the DAP, the following holds true:
15. Mahathir will form a Third Force without Anwar.
16. GPS will then opt for the Third Force, as currently, the coalition is tagging along with Perikatan Nasional only because the latter is in control of the federal government.
17. Without Anwar on board, the DAP will be forced to choose between Anwar and Mahathir.
18. If the DAP chooses Anwar, it will be Paktan Harapan vs The Third Force vs “whatever is left of Perikatan Nasional,” including PAS.
19. Under the circumstances, the winner will likely be The Third Force, as “anti-Anwar” and “anti-PAS” sentiments in Sabah and Sarawak are very much higher than “anti-WARISAN” and “anti-GPS” sentiments.
20. Likewise, “anti-DAP” sentiments are very much higher in the peninsula of Malaysia than “anti-Mahathir” sentiments.
21. Mahathir will also be appreciated by a sizeable number of Malay-Muslim voters for “doing away with Anwar and the DAP.”
22. As for the Chinese and the Indians, they will be able to accept the Third Force for reasons I am not at liberty to disclose.
23. If, however, GPS decides to tag along with “Team PAS,” it will be the end of GPS. Likewise, should the DAP decide to tag along with Anwar, it will be the end of the DAP.
24. It follows, the only option left for the DAP is to support Mahathir unconditionally by making it absolutely clear that Mahathir will lead Pakatan Harapan towards GE15, maybe even beyond.
NOTA: SAYA MEMBUAT PENGUMUMAN-PENGUMUMAN PENTING DARI MASA KE SEMASA EKSKLUSIF MENERUSI SALURAN TELEGRAM BERIKUT:
