THE THIRD FORCE
Following is a forecast of the 9th of May 2018 Malaysian Dewan Rakyat election results based on findings by the Global Intelligence Team comprising both the The Third Force and a group of intelligence personnel spread across continents:
Note, that the forecast takes into account defections that took place since the 2013 general election and provides the number of seats gained based on the composition of the 13th Parliament of Malaysia as of the 16 March 2018.
The forecast also takes into account the impact of voter migration, new voter registration, death of voters, loss of eligibility to vote, swing in both Chinese and Malay support (based on ground surveys) and responses from youth (35 years and below) and veteran (55 years and above) groups.
According to the prediction, Barisan Nasional will surpass the two-thirds threshold by an eight seat margin to return as Malaysia’s ruling coalition for an eleventh term. The opposition-pact (PKR, DAP, PPBM, Amanah) is set to be humiliated at the poll with Amanah being the biggest casualty, down 71.43% seats since its inception.
The election will likely go down in history as the Vox Populi on Mahathir vs Najib and will mark the beginning to the end of Pakatan Harapan.