#تتفچوۏيد19: اوسها محي الدين هاروس دڤوجي
#TTFCovid19: United States based investment bank JP Morgan has given a thumbs up to the Government of Malaysia (GoM), saying its actions are proving effective in curbing the spread and intensity of the Covid-19 pandemic.
Yesterday, TTF pointed out that a recent discovery by a team of researchers in the United States could shed light on the severity of Covid-19 infections and mortality trends between one age group and another and the differences in these trends between nations if medical professionals and researchers care enough to alias with peers abroad and conduct an initial study.
One way to go about it is to establish an ad-hoc think tank committee to continuously research on related developments and to feed the GoM with fresh ideas.
Such a think tank could come up with daily-revised prediction models based on established data, which, if proven reliable over a predetermined period, could better equip the GoM with tools that can be considered to extrapolate Covid-19 infection and mortality trends.
This could provide the GoM with the foresight to take a necessary course of action which it could otherwise have overlooked.
PETALING JAYA: United States based investment bank JPMorgan has given a thumbs up to the Government of Malaysia (GoM), saying its actions are proving effective in curbing the spread and intensity of the Covid-19 pandemic.
According to a news report, the bank said Malaysia’s aggressive testing strategy – “test per million capita”- far exceeded Asean peers and even several European nations
: The government’s actions are proving effective in curbing the spread and intensity of the Covid-19 pandemic, US investment bank JP Morgan says.
“The recent limitations on movement should also help to slow the spread and along with border controls should subdue secondary spread of the epidemic,” JP Morgan said in a report dated March 23.
“We therefore believe the decisive introduction of risk control measures last week are laudable. We see these as being effective in curbing spread and mortality,” it reportedly said.
A recent discovery by a team of researchers from the University of Arizona Department on why the 1918 Spanish Flu pandemic killed mostly youth suggests there may be ‘nation specific’ factors associated with Covid-19 infection and mortality rates that is not as yet understood by professionals.
TTF pointed out that the research could shed light on the severity of Covid-19 infections and mortality trends between one age group and another and the differences in these trends between nations if medical professionals and researchers care enough to alias with peers abroad and conduct an initial study.
One way to go about it is to establish an ad-hoc think tank committee to continuously research on related developments and to feed the GoM with fresh ideas.
Such a think tank could come up with daily-revised prediction models based on established data, which, if proven reliable over a predetermined period, could better equip the GoM with tools that can be considered to extrapolate Covid-19 infection and mortality trends.
This could provide the GoM with the foresight to take a necessary course of action which it could otherwise have overlooked.
On Monday, TTF did a comparison of Covid-19 cases between Malaysia and Italy, suggesting that the Malaysian Movement Restriction Order (MMO), the brainchild of Prime Minister Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin, may have helped reduce the spread of the disease.
According to the finding, not only did the number of reported cases in Italy and Malaysia parallel between the 13th and the 18th of March 2020 – the day the MMO went into effect, the daily difference was marginal, the highest being 12.4 per cent on the 18th of March 2020 itself.
However, Italy began to see a sharp rise in cases on the 19thof March 2020, while the number of cases in Malaysia continued to rise at a near-constant.
By the 21st of March 2020, Italy had reported 72.1 per cent more cases than Malaysia, indicating that the Covid-19 pandemic in Italy had truly reached emergency proportions.
The analysis found that the ‘staggered lockdown’ approach by Italy – which was nowhere near a real lockdown in the truest sense of the word – and the lackadaisical attitudes by politicians at initial stages did little to contain the disease.
TTF wrote:
“Contrary to claims that “the lockdown measures implemented were the most radical outside China,” the lockdown in Italy was anything but radical, let alone nationwide.
“And it wasn’t until the 21stof March 2020 that Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte announced the closure of factories and all non-essential forms of production.
“But by then, Italy had 47,021 reported cases and was no longer a safe country to be in as there was no telling how many people had spread the disease in parks, cafes and other open areas, taking a leaf out of Zingaretti’s “don’t change our habits” guidebook.
“Muhyiddin, on the other hand, went straight into red-alert and began planning an out-and-out, nationwide restriction order the minute cases ticked above the 400 mark even though there wasn’t a single reported death.
“And people were constantly told “to change their habits” from day one as “everyone needed to do their bit in breaking the chain of infections.”
“Perhaps this explains the 72.1 per cent difference between the number of cases in Malaysia and Italy on Saturday and why Muhyiddin’s MMO, which is just in its fifth day, is far more effective than Italy’s 32-day staggered lockdown.”
THE THIRD FORCE
